Progressive Pattern = No Big Weekend Storm

I'm not sure what is trending lower... the stock market, or the chances of a big coastal storm this weekend with snow for the East. Both are looking pretty ugly now. As expected, the big storm shown on yesterday's Canadian and European models has vanished today. The progressive nature of the northern stream still keeps fighting off the chance for a deep snowstorm to develop. Having said that, we still do have the clipper coming in this weekend, which again, isn't a huge system, but does have a chance to put down a few inches somewhere as it moves eastward. My idea on this from the other day was that the best chance for more than an inch of snow ran from along and north of a line friom Muncie, IN to New York City. The adjustment I'm contemplating now is to move this line in the East more toward Boston, but let's see how things look tonight before changing that for sure, as four days out, that is essentially splitting hairs given how much things can change in that length of time. The northern edge looks to run roughly from Milwaukee, WI to northern Maine.

It does get colder in the wake of this clipper, but it seems milder air may arrive right at the end of the month and into early March. So while this cannot be said to be winter's last gasp just yet (it can still snow well into March and even April up north), we are heading for the finish line here in the next few weeks for most areas of course. I'll then await thunderstorm season, and use this space to focus on severe weather threats, and maybe a little educational stuff regarding global patterns / teleconnections and how they play a role in what happens here in the U.S. I'll do my best to fnd something of interest in the weather world at least!